Tropical Depression Nine has formed in the Gulf of Campeche and will likely become Hanna later today. Initially, this storm will trek eastward across the Yucatan Peninsula and sit in the Caribbean for several days waiting for a trough to pick it up.
A lot of uncertainty remains; however, I believe the disturbance will sit and fester in the northwest Caribbean and then begin to migrate northward towards Cuba. It is after this point where things get muddy. My feeling is that it gets entrained into a pressing trough the middle of next week and comes up near Florida. The two questions at this point: Does the trough slow down allowing Hanna to trek more northward and potentially affect the eastern Ohio Valley? Or, does the trough speed up and push Hanna through Cuba, off the east coast of Florida, and then off the East Coast of the United States?
Time will tell, but I do believe Hanna will have an important say so to what our resultant weather will be the middle of next week. Stay tuned.
Current position of Tropical Depression Nine: