The Forecast for Friday, May 22nd, 2015

#Friday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Friday

The end of the work and school week will end on a splendid note.  After the last couple days of raw, cloudy, cool, and at times showery weather, Friday will feature a great deal of sunshine and temperatures at seasonally cool levels.  The only fly in the ointment will be over far eastern sections where subtle weakness will linger.  With the cold upper levels and abundant sunshine, clouds will form and lower and possibly pop a shower.  High pressure will dominate the entire region by this evening with clear skies and light winds.  If you are up and at it early on Friday morning you will need a jacket or sweatshirt, but by lunch time temperatures should be at comfortable levels.  All in all, a nice way to end the week.

USGrid

A look across the country shows relatively quiet weather besides in the southern and central Plains.  A cold morning will greet New York and the parts of New England.  However, heavy, persistent shower and thunderstorm activity in Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas leading to continual flood concerns.  Severe weather will also be a concern there, but relatively quiet weather for our neck of the woods.

Forecast:

West: Cool to Start, then Partly to Mostly Sunny and Seasonal. Highs in the Upper 60s to Middle 70s.  Lows in the Middle 40s to Lower 50s.  West and Southwest Winds at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

South: Cool to Start, then Partly to Mostly Sunny and Seasonal.  Highs from Around 70 to the Middle 70s.  Lows from Around 50 to the Middle 50s.  West and Northwest Winds at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

Central: Cool to Start, then Partly to Mostly Sunny and Seasonal.  Highs in the Upper 60s to Lower 70s.  Lows in the Lower to Middle 40s.  West and Northwest Winds at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

North: Cool to Start, then Partly to Mostly Sunny and Seasonal.  Highs in the Middle 60s to Around 70.  Lows in the Lower to Middle 40s.  West and Northwest Winds at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

East: Cool to Start, then Partly to Mostly Sunny.  A Stray Shower in the Afternoon, Clearing by Sunset.  Highs in the Middle 60s to Around 70.  Lows in the Middle 30s to Around 40.  West and Northwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 10%

The Forecast for Thursday, May 21st, 2015

#Thursday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Thursday

As a few light showers exit the region by early to mid morning, the rest of Thursday will set up cool another cool, relatively dry day.  With the cool upper levels of the atmosphere in place, clouds will bubble up with the heating of the day.  It is possible a few sprinkles or light showers pop up tomorrow afternoon.  I will mention it in the grid forecast, but 95% of the region will experience nothing but a mix of clouds and sunshine.  Once by the early evening as the heating of the day has ended, clouds will thin as high pressure builds into the area.  So another cool night is in store for the Ohio Valley Thursday night into Friday morning.

Thursday

Nationwide, Thursday will be relatively benign.  Heavy rain and some severe thunderstorms will continue to plague Texas and the far Southern Plains.  In the mean time, low pressure trekking off shore could create some enhanced convection in the Carolinas.

Forecast:

West: Partly to Mostly Cloudy and Continued Cool.  A Possible Sprinkle or Shower in the Afternoon.  Highs in the Upper 50s to Middle 60s.  Lows from Around 40 to the Middle 40s.  North Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 10%

South: A Few Showers Early, then Partly to Mostly Cloudy and Cool.  A Possible Sprinkle or Shower in the Afternoon.  Highs from Around 60 to the Upper 60s.  Lows in the Middle 40s to Around 50.  North and Northwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 20%

Central: A Few Showers Early, then Partly to Mostly Cloudy and Continued Cool.  A Possible Sprinkle or Shower in the Afternoon.  Highs in the Upper 50s to Middle 60s.  Lows in the Lower to Middle 40s.  North and Northwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 10%

North: Partly to Mostly Cloudy and Continued Cool.  A Possible Sprinkle or Shower in the Afternoon.  Highs in the Upper 50s to Middle 60s.  Lows in the Lower to Middle 40s.  West and Northwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 10%

East: A Chance of Showers through Mid Morning, then Mostly Cloudy with a Sprinkle or Shower Possible in the Afternoon.  Cool.  Highs in the Upper 50s to Middle 60s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 40s.  North and Northwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 30%

The Forecast for Wednesday, May 20th, 2015

#Wednesday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Wednesday

A cool, crisp morning will greet many as we enter the middle part of the work and school week.  A mix of clouds and sun will be the dominant sky conditions tomorrow as a northwest breeze adds that crispness to the air.  With the recent stints of warm and muggy air, the chill and dry air will feel cool for most not being in direct sun.  A weak disturbance will rotate in from the west , Wednesday afternoon, increasing the clouds.  By late Wednesday afternoon into the early hours of Thursday a few showers will be present.

Wednesday

Overall, Wednesday will probably feel more like late March or early April then the middle part of May.  The highlight of any significant weather is probably the widespread frost and freeze warnings across the Upper Great Plains and northern Great Lakes regions.  Plus, a threat of severe weather in west Texas into deep South Texas.

Forecast:

West: Partly to Mostly Cloudy.  Hit and Miss Showers by Late Afternoon.  Cool.  Highs from Around 60 to the Middle 60s.  Lows from the Middle to Upper 40s.  North and Northeast Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 40%

South: Partly to Mostly Sunny Early, then Increasing Clouds.  Hit and Miss Showers by Late Evening.  Seasonally Cool.  Highs in the Middle 60s to Around 70.  Lows from Around 50 to the Middle 50s.  North and Northeast Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 30%

Central: Partly to Mostly Cloudy.  Hit and Miss Showers by Early Evening.  Cool.  Highs in the Lower to Upper 60s.  Lows in the Middle to Upper 40s.  North and Northeast Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 40%

North: Partly to Mostly Cloudy and Chilly.  Hit and Miss Showers by Early Evening.  Highs in the Upper 50s to Lower 60s.  Lows from Around 40 to the Middle 40s.  North and Northeast Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 40%

East: Partly to Mostly Cloudy.  Cool.  A Chance of Showers by Late Evening.  Highs in the Lower to Middle 60s.  Lows in the Lower to Middle 40s.  Northwest Winds becoming North and Northeast at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 30%

The Forecast for Tuesday, May 19th, 2015

#Tuesday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Tuesday

A cold front is sweeping through the region tonight.  In its wake, cooler temperatures and drier air will work its way into the area.  The hit and miss showers and thunderstorms will exit by the predawn hours in the east, setting up a pleasant and dry Tuesday.  Temperatures should range between the middle 60s to middle 70s with low humidity.  Areas of fair weather cumulus should develop in the heating of the day turning skies partly to perhaps mostly cloudy at times, but no precipitation is anticipated.

Tuesday

Some vigorous storms are likely in the already battered, severe ravaged areas in the Great Plains, so interests out there will need to keep an eye on the potential for more severe weather, but as the image depicted above shows nothing for our region tomorrow.

Forecast:

West: A Left Over Shower Early AM, then Partly to Mostly Sunny, Less Humid, and Seasonal.  Highs in the Middle 60s to Lower 70s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 40s.  Northwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 10%

South: An Early Morning Shower or Thunderstorm, then Partly to Mostly Sunny, Less Humid, and Seasonal.  Highs in the Lower to Upper 70s.  Lows in the Middle 40s to Around 50.  Northwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of Rain 20%

Central: A Left Over Shower Early AM, then Partly to Mostly Sunny, Less Humid, and Seasonal.  Highs in the Upper 60s to Lower 70s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 40s.   Northwest Winds at 10 to 20 mph.  Chance of Rain 10%

North: A Left Over Shower Early AM, then Partly to Mostly Sunny, Less Humid, and Cool.  Highs in the Lower to Middle 60s.  Lows in the Upper 30s to Middle 40s.  Northwest Winds at 10 to 20 mph.  Chance of Rain 10%

East: A Chance of a Shower or Thunderstorm Through Mid-Morning, then a Mix of Clouds and Sun.  Less Humid and Seasonal.  Highs from Around 70 to the Middle 70s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 40s.  West and Northwest Winds at 10 to 20 mph.  Chance of Rain 30%

The Forecast for Monday, May 18th, 2015

#Monday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Monday

Another warm and humid day is in store for the region; however, a cold front will track through the region northwest-to-southeast during the day taking the storms and humidity with it.  Showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop ahead of the cold front, with the potential for a few severe storms.  Once the front passes, temperatures will lower and humidity will ease as High Pressure builds in its wake.

Monday

As you can see from the SPC outlook, a marginal threat for severe weather is anticipated.  I do believe a few storms will turn severe with large hail and damaging wind gusts.  I do not anticipate this being a major ordeal, but always keep tabs on the weather going around you so you can best prepare.

Forecast:

West: A Few Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Overnight, then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms During the Day.  Warm and Humid.  Highs in the Upper 70s to Lower 80s.  Lows in the Middle to Upper 50s.  Southwest Winds at 10 to 20 mph, Shifting to the Northwest Late.  Chance of Rain 50% Locally Strong Storms Possible.

South: A Few Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Overnight, then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorm Likely in the Afternoon.  A Few Storms may be Severe.  Warm and Humid.  Highs from Around 80 into the Middle 80s,  Lows in the Upper 50s to Lower 60s.  Southwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph, Shifting to the West Late.  Chance of Rain 60%

Central: A Few Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Overnight, then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms Likely in the Afternoon.  A Few Storms may be Severe.  Warm and Humid.  Highs from Around 80 to the Middle 80s.  Lows in the Upper 50s to Lower 60s.  Southwest Winds at 10 to 20 mph, Shifting to the West Late.  Chance of Rain 60%

North: A Few Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Overnight, then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms from Late Morning On.  A Few Storms may be Severe.  Warm and Humid.  Highs in the Upper 70s to Lower 80s.  Lows in the Middle 50s to Around 60.  Southwest Winds at 10 to 20 mph, Shifting to the West Late.  Chance of Rain 50%

East: A Few Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Overnight, then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms Likely in the Afternoon.  A Few Storms may be Severe.  Warm and Humid.  Highs in the Upper 70s to Middle 80s.  Lows Around 60 to the Middle 60s.  Southwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 60%

The Forecast for Saturday, May 16th, 2015

#Saturday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Saturday

Hit and miss showers and thunderstorms affected parts of the region on Friday and Saturday will be quite similar.  A band of showers and thunderstorms is trekking through Kentucky, Indiana and Ohio during the “bewitching” hour.  These storms will slowly wane in intensity as they move through the region.  This remnant line should create boundaries tomorrow afternoon to reignite scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Humidity has been on the rise all day, so Saturday will feel muggy for the region.   Temperatures will continue to be above normal as we start off the weekend.

Saturday

An active thunderstorm day will continue in the Plains for Saturday.  Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, destructive hail, and a few tornadoes seem likely from northern Texas into parts of Nebraska.  In our region, severe parameters are not great; however, enough shear is around that some locally strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible.  Heavy rain, gusty winds, small hail, and frequent lightning all are likely with the thunderstorms that the region will receive today.  If outdoors, please keep abreast of the conditions should weather impact your area.

Forecast:

West: Leftover Showers and Thunderstorms Ending Tonight and Muggy.  Then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms, Most Numerous in the Afternoon.  Humid.  Highs in the Middle 70s to Middle 80s.  Lows in the Middle to Upper 60s.  South Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 50% Locally Strong Storms Possible.

South: Leftover Showers and Thunderstorms Ending Tonight and Muggy.  Then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms, Most Numerous in the Afternoon.  Humid.  Highs in the Upper 70s to Middle 80s.  Lows in the Middle to Upper 60s.  South Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 50% Locally Strong Storms Possible.

Central: Leftover Showers and Thunderstorms Ending Tonight and Muggy.  Then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms, Most Numerous in the Afternoon.  Humid.  Highs in the Upper 70s to Middle 80s.  Lows in the Middle to Upper 60s.  South and Southwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 50% Locally Strong Storms Possible.

North: Leftover Showers and Thunderstorms Ending Tonight and Muggy.  Then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms, Most Numerous in the Afternoon.  Humid  Highs in the Middle 70s to Lower 80s.  Lows in the Middle to Upper 60s.  South and Southwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 50% Locally Strong Storms Possible.

East: An Isolated Shower or Thunderstorm Possible Tonight.  Then Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms in the Afternoon.  Humid.  Highs in the Upper 70s to Middle 80s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 60s.  Southwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 50% Locally Strong Storms Possible.

The Forecast for Friday, May 15th, 2015

#Friday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Friday

A warm front will trek across the region overnight and reside over northern Ohio and Indiana by mid-morning Friday.  This will allow winds to switch around to the south ushering in warmer and more humid air for the region.  With the warm front a few showers and embedded thunderstorms will be possible.  Come tomorrow afternoon with a mix of clouds and sun and ample moisture return, hit and miss showers and thunderstorms will develop.  Things will continue into Friday night with the threat of convection.  Temperatures will climb back to above normal readings for Friday with most seeing highs in the middle 70s to middle 80s.

Friday

With the increasing moisture flow and subtle forcing from warm front interaction, some thunderstorms may approach and exceed severe limits.  No impressive mechanism is in place to set the stage for intense convection, but with steady lapse rates and deepening moisture flow, strong, gusty winds and a few large hail reports will be possible.  Keep an eye if activities take you outdoors on Friday.

Forecast:

West: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Warm, and Humid.  Scattered Thunderstorms Throughout the Day.  Highs in the Upper 70s to Middle 80s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 60s.  South and Southwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 40%  Locally Strong Storms Possible

South: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Warm and Humid.  Hit and Miss Thunderstorms in the Afternoon.  Highs from Around 80 to the Middle 80s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 60s.  South and Southwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 30% Locally Strong Storms Possible

Central: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Warm and Humid.  Hit and Miss Thunderstorms in the Afternoon.  Highs in the Upper 70s to the Middle 80s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 60s.  South and Southwest Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 30% Locally Strong Storms Possible

North: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Warm, and Humid.  Scattered Thunderstorms In the Afternoon.  Highs in the Middle 70s to the Lower 80s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 60s.  South and Southwest Winds at 10 to 20 mph.  Chance of Rain 40% Locally Strong Storms Possible

East: Partly to Mostly Sunny.  Hit and Miss Thunderstorms by Mid-Afternoon.  Highs in the Middle 70s to Around 80.  Lows in the Upper 50s to Middle 60s.  South and Southwest Winds at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 30% Locally Strong Storms Possible

The Forecast for Thursday, May 14th, 2015

#Thursday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Thursday

Another comfortable, Spring-like day will greet the area on Thursday.  After a cool to chilly start, sunshine and light breezes will allow temperatures to warm to mid-May levels by the mid afternoon hours.

frostAM

With the clear skies overnight on light winds, temperatures in the northern and northeastern zones will fall to around 40 degrees.  The favored cool spots could fall into the middle 30s, briefly.  I do not see much in the way of frost; however, with prime planting season underway, agricultural interests will want to monitor if things are a touch too cool for a couple of hours.

By the late afternoon and evening hours, clouds will begin to thicken and lower as a warm front pushes into the region.  With this front, warmth and humidity will return along with a threat of showers and thunderstorms by late tomorrow night.

Forecast:

West:  Mostly Sunny in the Morning, Increasing Clouds in the Afternoon.  A Chance of Showers and Thunderstorms Late.  Highs in the Lower to Upper 70s.  Lows in the Middle 50s to Around 60.  East Winds Becoming Southeast at Less than 10  mph.  Chance of Rain 30%

South: Mostly Sunny in the Morning, Increasing Clouds in the Afternoon.  A Chance of Showers and Thunderstorms Late.  Highs in the Middle 70s to Around 80.  Lows in the Upper 50s to Lower 60s.  East Winds Becoming Southeast at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 30%

Central: Mostly Sunny in the Morning, Increasing Clouds by Late Afternoon.  A Chance of Showers and Thunderstorms Late.  Highs in the Upper 60s to Middle 70s.  Lows in the Middle 50s to Around 60. East Winds Becoming Southeast at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 30%

North: Isolated Frost in the Morning, Otherwise Partly to Mostly Sunny.  Highs in the Middle 60s to Around 70.  Lows in the Middle 50s to Around 60.  East Winds Becoming Southeast at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

East: Isolated Frost in the Morning, Otherwise Partly to Mostly Sunny.  Highs in the Middle 60s to Around 70.  Lows in the Upper 40s to Lower 50s.  Northeast Winds Becoming East at Less than 10 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

 

The Forecast for Wednesday, May 13th, 2015

#Wednesday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Wednesday

High pressure will be centered over the region today.  As a result, dry weather can be expected.  With a cool upper level regime and strong May sunshine, fair weather clouds will pop up in the afternoon but dissipate by evening.  Temperature wise, they will run just a bit below normal for this time of year.   Overall, quiet weather today.

Regional Forecast:

Partly to Mostly Sunny and Pleasantly Cool.  Highs from Around 60 in the Northeast to the Lower 70s in the Southwest.  Lows from the Upper 30s in the Northeast to the Middle 40s in the South.  Winds will generally be at Less than 10 mph from the North and Northeast.  The Chance of Rain is 0%

The Forecast for Tuesday, May 12th, 2015

#Tuesday #Temperature #Precipitation #Indiana #Kentucky #Ohio #WestVirginia

Tuesday

A strong cold front tore through the region Monday afternoon and evening.  With it came a pulsating line of severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall.  It is this cold front that will rid the region of the muggy, middle of summer weather we have had in recent days and be replaced by the more seasonal, spring-like weather associated for the middle of May.  Rather than the hit and miss thunderstorms over the past few days, lower humidity and a mix of clouds and sun will dominate Tuesday.  Temperatures will be on average 10-15 degrees cooler for the second day of the workweek.

Severe

The severe reports for the region are listed above.  In general, severe wind gusts occurred along the broken squall line.  As is custom with any thunderstorm, they can pulse up and then pulse down.  As evident by the map, this occurred.  Storms developed and intensified across eastern Indiana and far western Ohio, only to pulse down for a period before recharging across central and eastern Ohio into central and eastern Kentucky.  Some noise about a couple tornadoes have yet to be confirmed, but should know later Tuesday to see if any tornadoes, indeed, occurred.

Forecast:

West: A few Early Clouds, then becoming Partly to Mostly Sunny and Pleasant.  Breezy. Highs in the Middle 60s to Around 70.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 40s.  West Winds at 15 to 25 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

South: An Early Morning Shower then becoming Partly to Mostly Sunny and Pleasant.  Highs in the Upper 60s to Middle 70s.  Lows in the Middle 40s to Around 50.  West Winds at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of Rain 20%

Central: A few Early Clouds, then becoming Partly to Mostly Sunny and Pleasant.  Breezy.  Highs in the Middle 60s to Around 70.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 40s.  West Winds at 15 to 25 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

North: A few Early Clouds, then becoming Partly to Mostly Sunny and Pleasant.  Breezy.  Highs in the Lower to Upper 60s.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 40s.  West Winds at 15 to 30 mph.  Chance of Rain 0%

East: Early Morning Thunderstorms, Then Gradual Clearing.  Breezy.  Highs in the Middle 60s to Around 70.  Lows in the Lower to Upper 40s.  West Winds at 10 to 20 mph.  Chance of Rain 40%

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